News Bits

by Luke Muehlhauser on January 15, 2011 in News

A post I wrote for Less Wrong: Back to the Basics of Rationality.

4 more debates added to the debates page.

A short discussion post I wrote for Less Wrong: An Overview of Formal Epistemology.

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{ 17 comments… read them below or add one }

SecularDAd January 15, 2011 at 9:02 am

They act like they really ripped Carrier a new one in that link. I wish I had the training to follow the discussion.


Charles January 15, 2011 at 9:14 am

So . . . Exercise. Meditate. Play video games.

Got it.


Talmudist January 15, 2011 at 10:16 am

Yeah that discussion was pretty brutal. Has any other academics review Carrier’s work on Bayes?


Talmudist January 15, 2011 at 10:19 am

Wow, that was a wreck grammar-wise. *Have any other academics reviewed Carrier’s work on Bayes?


Luke Muehlhauser January 15, 2011 at 10:24 am


I doubt it, but even from my limited of Bayes, it appears Tim McGrew is correct – which would not be surprising, since he’s been publishing on probability theory for decades, and Carrier apparently discovered Bayes about 4 years ago. I did have a hard time reading the first couple pages of Carrier’s paper on Bayes, because it was different than everything else I had read on Bayes. So that’s as far as I read.


Steven R. January 15, 2011 at 11:27 am

I loved the Stephen Colbert bit. Nice comedic relief from all this Bayesian stuff.


Keith J. January 15, 2011 at 6:15 pm

I think the recap WLC made of his debate with Dawkins was pretty good. Dawkins is really ridiculously out of his depth. However, given the existence of God it is not evident that the universe has a purpose. We would have to know what type of God exists in order to make that determination. I do agree that without the existence of any God then yea, there is no true universal purpose…


Taranu January 16, 2011 at 4:35 am

I’ve read what lukebarns wrote about Ikeda & Jeffries and I can’t say I understood all the things he did with Bayes. The tutorial you wrote, which is clearly helpful, is useful only up to some point. So I am wondering if there will be a part two. Let’s say part one is for beginners and part two introduces the reader to the next level of Bayesianism :) There must be more things to say about Bayesian epistemology.What do you say?


BenSix January 16, 2011 at 6:03 am

(It’s a minor point but one could structure a drinking game around how many times the interviewer calls Craig “Bill”.)


Luke Muehlhauser January 16, 2011 at 8:40 am


Yup, there will be lots more Bayes tutorials here.


Taranu January 16, 2011 at 9:09 am



Reginald Selkirk January 16, 2011 at 9:39 am

25 Most Influential Living Atheists.

I am not impressed with their list. #12 Edward O. Wilson self-identifies as a “provisional deist”. Bill Gates, whose charitable activity has had some impact, nowhere on the list.


Jeff H January 16, 2011 at 1:19 pm

I tend to agree with what Jen McCreight said about the “25 Most Influential Living Atheists” list:


Tim January 17, 2011 at 3:01 am

Re: Tim McGrew vs. Ed Babinski on the reliability of the gospels

Is it just me or does McGrew come across in this as having taken lessons in snarky rhetoric from JP Holding?


Reginald Selkirk January 18, 2011 at 9:47 am
Reginald Selkirk January 20, 2011 at 7:05 am

Nox’s Wall of Text, Part 3.

An epic takedown of the gospel of Matthew.


Reginald Selkirk January 20, 2011 at 7:09 am

Couple part of doomsday group

South African manhunt for a couple who shot a policeman. The couple belonged to the Ramtha School of Enlightenment cult, started by JZ Knight.


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